cryptobriefing.com / Page 8

Trump halted strikes against Iran, citing internal issues. Permanent peace deal by April 22 now at 1.9% YES, while by May 31 it rises to 55.5% YES.

Democracy Forward's FOIA request increases scrutiny on Kash Patel. Patel out by June 30 at 62.5% YES.

US Treasury imposes new sanctions on Iran weapon suppliers. Trump agreeing to Iranian oil sanction relief in April at 27% YES.

Spot gold drops 3% amid Iran conflict and strong US dollar. Gold at $8,000 by June priced at 29% YES.

Starmer's leadership is under threat due to the Mandelson scandal, with the market for him leaving office by December 31, 2026 at 67% YES.

IRGC showcased missiles in Tehran amid low expectations for Israeli military action. Israel conducting military action against Iran by April 21 at 1.9% YES.

Tucker Carlson apologized for his Trump support, leading the market to signal a 100% chance Trump will publicly insult Carlson by April 30, 2026.

US Treasury yields rise amid escalating US-Iran tensions. No change in Fed rates after July 2026 at 80.5% YES.

US pauses Iran talks with 10 days left before ceasefire deadline. Ceasefire by April 30 at 22.5% YES.

Michael Saylor announced Strategy's $3.6 billion Bitcoin gain, with Bitcoin above $66,000 on April 21 at 99.9% YES.