cryptobriefing.com / Page 6

Trump extended the Iran ceasefire, leading to a drop in odds for ending military operations by April 30 to 21.5% YES.

U.S. military operations against Iran continue, causing ceasefire odds to drop to 21.5% YES for an end by April 30.

UAE becomes the sixth-largest sovereign Bitcoin holder with a $900M investment. Bitcoin reaching $80K in April 2026 at 34.5% YES.

Iran reports US signals to end the blockade, but talks are stalled; ceasefire by April 30 at 26% YES.

Iran's conditional openness to talks hasn't improved ceasefire odds. Ceasefire by April 30 at 26% YES.

IRGC has sidelined Iran's president and taken control of state functions. Iranian regime fall by June 30 rises to 8.5% YES.

Trump extends the U.S. blockade on Iran as ceasefire talks stall. Ceasefire breach by April 21 at 100% YES.

Trump halted strikes against Iran, citing internal issues. Permanent peace deal by April 22 now at 1.9% YES, while by May 31 it rises to 55.5% YES.

Democracy Forward's FOIA request increases scrutiny on Kash Patel. Patel out by June 30 at 62.5% YES.

US Treasury imposes new sanctions on Iran weapon suppliers. Trump agreeing to Iranian oil sanction relief in April at 27% YES.