#lebanon

Lebanon reopens key routes amid ceasefire progress. Ceasefire by April 30 at 100% YES.

Hezbollah rejects the US-brokered ceasefire with Israel. US-Iran meeting by April 30 at 100% YES.

Iran's top negotiator says both sides remain far apart after Tehran again closed strait of Hormuz after US said it would not end its blockade ...

Geagea blames Hezbollah for Lebanon violence, signaling potential de-escalation. Diplomatic meeting between Israel and Lebanon by April 30, 2026 at 100% YES.

Trump announces a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon. Endorsement of the ceasefire by April 30 at 100% YES.

Trump's anti-Israel stance disrupts ceasefire expectations. Endorsement of Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30 at 100% YES.

Hezbollah's leader announced five conditions for the ceasefire, raising doubts about its sustainability. Ceasefire by April 30 at 100% YES.

UN chief condemns attack on French peacekeeper in Lebanon. Ceasefire by April 30 at 100% YES.

Trump prohibits Israeli attacks in Lebanon, surprising Netanyahu amid tense Israel-Lebanon ceasefire talks.

Israeli army claims its Lebanon attacks comply with ceasefire terms. Ceasefire by April 30 at 100% YES, June 30 at 100% YES, but market remains cautious.