Iran's strike on Israel by April 30, 2026, is fully priced at 100% YES, indicating complete trader consensus on the likelihood of an attack.
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US-Israeli strikes damaged 20 Iranian aircraft while airport infrastructure remains intact. Israel military action against Iran by April 21 at 14% YES.
Israel's Windward and Vantor enhance maritime monitoring in the Strait of Hormuz. Odds for 80 ships transiting by April 30 drop to 25.5% YES.
US Navy seizes Iranian vessel M/V Touska after standoff. Iran striking Israel by April 30 at 100% YES.
IDF airstrikes in Bint Jbeil challenge the ceasefire's stability. Ceasefire by April 30, 2026 at 100% YES.
The U.S. remains an essential player. The problem, one analyst said, is how to deal effectively with a power that is "indispensable, coercive and unpredictable at the same time."
US Space Force makes combat debut in Operation Epic Fury. Iran striking Israel by April 30 at 100% YES.
With the clock ticking on the two week ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran, and the 10 day halt to hostilities between Israel and Lebanon, the leftist media has been working overtime to convince viewers that Trump will cave, and in the end, Iran will ...
Donald Trump said on Sunday that US marines had taken custody of a vessel that tried to get past the American blockade on Iranian ports ...
Pope Leo XIV condemned the US missile strike on an Iranian school, with the market for Iran striking Israel by April 30 at 100% YES.