Iran denies new talks, contradicting Trump. Ending uranium enrichment by April 30 at 16.6% YES; US-Iran peace deal by April 22 at 13.5% YES.
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Iran's President insists on nuclear rights, causing the odds for ending uranium enrichment by April 30 to drop to 16.3% YES.
Iran has doubled down on its pledge to restrict ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz as long as the U.S. blockade of Iranian ports remains in place.
Iran has doubled down on its pledge to restrict ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz as long as the U.S. blockade of Iranian ports remains in place ...
Iran doubles down on closing the Strait of Hormuz as the ceasefire inches toward expiration ...
Hezbollah prioritizes battlefield conditions over diplomacy, pushing US-Iran meeting by April 30 down to 10% YES.
Iran doubles down on closing the Strait of Hormuz as the ceasefire inches toward expiration ...
Iran's refusal to halt uranium enrichment has stalled U.S. talks, with ceasefire odds by April 30 dropping to 37.5% YES.
Iran reversed course on reopening the strategic waterway, warning it would continue to block transit as long as the U.S. blockade of ships from Iranian ports remained in effect.
US intelligence confirms Iran retains drone and missile capabilities. Strike against Israel by April 30, 2026 at 100% YES.