Does the empirical accuracy of prediction markets derive from crowd wisdom or an informed few? In their April 2026 paper entitled "Prediction Market Accuracy: Crowd ...
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The Inflation Forecast now incorporates actual total and core Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for April 2026. The actual total (core) inflation rate is higher ...
Can artificial intelligence (AI) agents based on a large language model (LLM) carry most of the load in strategic asset allocation? In their April 2026 ...
Are broad measures of public sociopolitical sentiment relevant to investors? Do they predict stock returns as indicators of exuberance and fear? To investigate, we relate ...
Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 5/4/26 through 5/8/26. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past ...
When assigned to perform the same empirical financial research, do the findings of human researchers and large language models (LLM) as a kind of artificial ...
Should investors seeking to exploit both value and momentum factors in U.S. stocks prefer two separate portfolios or one that integrates stock selection? In his ...
What are current estimates of equity risk premiums (ERP) and risk-free rates around the world? In their April 2026 paper entitled "Survey: Market Risk Premium ...
Is growing investor/trader use of large language models (LLM) extinguishing known stock return anomalies? In their March 2026 paper entitled "Do LLMs Make Markets More ...